CAPITAL SIMULATOR / EXAMPLE DATA
A sealed pack needs a complete margin story.
Hypothetical USD assumptions for a weighted sealed-product mix. The figures are not equipment quotations, actual card margins, demand forecasts or a promise of recovery.
$8.00Net retained-sale price
$4.70Landed merchandise cost
$0.32Payment charge / 4%
$0.18Loss / support allowance
$2.80Unit contribution
$700Monthly fixed costs
DOWNSIDE
200
retained sales / month
Net revenue$1,600
Variable contribution$560
After fixed costs-$140
Simple cash recoveryNo finite recovery
OPEN SCENARIO NOTE
This demand level does not cover the example fixed cost. Reassess demand, margin and venue terms before committing more cash.
WORKING EXAMPLE
500
retained sales / month
Net revenue$4,000
Variable contribution$1,400
After fixed costs$700
Simple cash recovery11.1 months
OPEN SCENARIO NOTE
Validate the retained sales mix, refill cost and initial funding before treating this as a procurement case.
HIGHER DEMAND
900
retained sales / month
Net revenue$7,200
Variable contribution$2,520
After fixed costs$1,820
Simple cash recovery4.3 months
OPEN SCENARIO NOTE
This sensitivity case requires actual demand, approved stocking capacity and a workable replenishment plan.
Example initial funding: $7,000 installed equipment plus $800 opening stock, totalling $7,800. Operating break-even is 250 retained sales per month. A 24-month simple recovery target needs at least 367 monthly sales under constant assumptions.
Unit contribution = net realised price minus landed cost, payment fees, loss/support and other variable costs. Monthly operating contribution = retained sales multiplied by unit contribution minus fixed costs. Simple recovery = initial funding divided by positive monthly operating contribution.
Include refill labour, travel, rent or commission, power, software, connectivity, maintenance and insurance. Assign costs once and handle refunds consistently. Financing, income tax, depreciation, ramp-up, changing working capital, residual value and discounting are excluded. Simple cash recovery is not accounting ROI.
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